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Euro Eyes Recovery, But Downside Risks Linger 21/5/2026

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD pair exhibited an upward bias during the previous trading session after temporarily establishing a foothold above the psychological support at 1.1600.

Technical Outlook – 4-Hour Timeframe:

The corrective rebound drew support from positive signals on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which had dipped into oversold territory — a condition that helped mitigate a portion of the negative pressure weighing on the pair.

That said, the simple moving averages continue to impose downward pressure on the price, which could cap the prospects of a sustained recovery and raise the probability of a further bearish correction across the upcoming period.

Bearish (Most Likely) Scenario:

Trading beneath the 1.1660 resistance ceiling supports the continuation of the downtrend, with 1.1600 set as the initial objective. A decisive break below this level would unlock the path toward further declines targeting:

  • 1.1560 as the subsequent objective

Bullish Scenario:

Conversely, a confirmed hourly candle close above 1.1680 would expose the pair to a retest of higher levels, with initial targets emerging at:

  • 1.1705
  • Followed by 1.1735
  • Risk Disclaimer: Trading CFDs involves risks, and therefore the scenarios outlined above are not a recommendation to sell or buy but rather an explanatory reading of price movement on the chart.
S1: 1.1585R1: 1.1650
S2: 1.1550R2: 1.1685
S3: 1.1510R3: 1.1720


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