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Pound Slams into Resistance 7/11/2025

The pair attempted to claw back recent losses, but the recovery remains fragile.

Technical outlook

  • RSI: Overbought resets are fading, with the indicator still sending negative signals.
  • 50-SMA (4H): Capped the bounce near 1.3165, reinforcing overhead resistance.
  • Structure: Ongoing stability below 1.3175 keeps the bearish bias intact.

Base case (bearish while below 1.3175)

  • A retest of 1.3100 support is likely.
  • A decisive break/4H close below 1.3100 would open 1.3065 next.

Invalidation / upside toggle

  • A confirmed 1H close above 1.3175 would neutralize immediate downside pressure and allow a corrective push toward 1.3210.

Risk note
Volatility is elevated amid trade and geopolitical headlines. Use prudent sizing and firm stops; reassess quickly if these key levels give way.

Trading CFDs involves risks, and therefore all scenarios may be plausible. The information provided above is not a recommendation to sell or buy but rather an explanatory reading of price movement on the chart.

S1: 1.3065R1: 1.3165
S2: 1.3005R2: 1.3200
S3: 1.2970R3: 1.3260

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