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Pound Loses Ground Against the Dollar 31/10/2025

The pair logged heavy losses in the prior session, printing a 1.3117 low.

Technical outlook

  • RSI: Remains negative in the short term despite oversold readings—consistent with downside risk.
  • SMAs: Price holds below the simple moving averages, which continue to act as dynamic resistance.
  • Structure: Stability below 1.3210 keeps the bearish bias intact.

Base case (bearish while below 1.3210)

  • A drift toward 1.3105 (first support) is favored.
  • A decisive 4H close below 1.3105 would open 1.3060 next.

Invalidation / upside toggle

  • A confirmed 4H close above 1.3210 would neutralize immediate downside pressure and allow a corrective rise toward 1.3265.

Risk note
Volatility is elevated amid trade and geopolitical tensions. Manage position size and use hard stops; reassess quickly if the key levels break.

Trading CFDs involves risks, and therefore all scenarios may be plausible. The information provided above is not a recommendation to sell or buy but rather an explanatory reading of price movement on the chart.

S1: 1.3105R1: 1.3210
S2: 1.3060R2: 1.3265
S3: 1.3000R3: 1.3310

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