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Dow Jones tries to hold above support 16/4/2025

The Dow Jones Industrial Average temporarily gave up recent gains during the previous U.S. trading session after encountering a strong supply zone around the 40,800 level.

From a technical standpoint, the index has resumed a short-term downward correction, influenced by bearish signals from the Relative Strength Index (RSI). However, key simple moving averages continue to provide underlying support, helping to preserve a broadly constructive outlook.

As long as daily trading remains stable above the critical 40,000 level, the bias leans toward a renewed bullish push. A recovery above the 40,800 resistance area would improve sentiment and pave the way for further gains, with upside targets at 41,080 and 41,280.

On the downside, a confirmed break below 40,000 could shift momentum in favor of the bears, potentially triggering a deeper retracement toward 39,940 and 39,665 support zones.

Key Event Risk Today:
Expect potential market volatility tied to major economic announcements, including:

  • United States: Retail Sales report and a speech by a Federal Reserve Governor
  • Canada: Bank of Canada interest rate decision, monetary policy report, and press conference by the BoC Governor

These events may significantly influence equity market sentiment and direction.

Risk Disclaimer: Given the backdrop of global trade tensions and key central bank decisions, risk remains elevated. Traders should exercise caution and be prepared for volatile intraday moves across a broad price range.

S1: 39940R1: 40745
S2: 39665R2: 41280
S3: 39140R3: 41550

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