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Gold Edges Higher Above $5,200 as Markets Weigh Iran War Signals, Await U.S. Inflation Data

Gold prices ticked slightly higher in Asian trading on Wednesday as investors navigated mixed signals surrounding the ongoing U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, while also monitoring disruptions in global energy markets and the possibility of a near-term end to the war.

Spot gold rose 0.2% to $5,204.29 per ounce by 01:17 ET (05:17 GMT), while gold futures slipped 0.5% to $5,213.11 per ounce.

Gold moves above $5,200 range

The modest gains pushed bullion above the $5,000–$5,200 trading range that had contained prices over the past week, although analysts cautioned that it remains uncertain whether the breakout will hold.

Gold has experienced significant volatility in recent weeks after falling sharply from a record high near $5,600 per ounce in late January.

Market sentiment has been influenced heavily by mixed developments in the Middle East. While U.S. President Donald Trump said earlier this week that the conflict could be nearing an end, military exchanges between the United States, Israel, and Iran showed little sign of slowing by early Wednesday.

The conflict entered its twelfth consecutive day, keeping geopolitical risks elevated and supporting safe-haven demand for gold.

Inflation concerns limit gains

Despite the increase in geopolitical uncertainty, gold’s upside remained somewhat limited by fears that rising energy prices could fuel inflation.

Higher inflation may prompt central banks to adopt a more hawkish stance on interest rates, a scenario that typically weighs on gold because the metal does not generate yield.

Other precious metals muted

Price movements among other precious metals were relatively subdued during the session.

  • Spot silver edged 0.1% lower to $88.2245 per ounce
  • Platinum gained 0.3% to $2,208.89 per ounce

U.S. CPI data in focus

Investors are now awaiting the release of the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) for February, scheduled later on Wednesday, which is expected to offer further insight into inflation trends and the potential direction of U.S. interest rates.

Economists forecast headline CPI inflation to remain steady at 2.4% year-on-year, while core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, is expected to hold at 2.5%.

Although the data is unlikely to fully capture the recent surge in energy prices caused by the Iran conflict, it will still be closely analyzed for clues about consumer spending and overall economic momentum in the world’s largest economy.

The inflation report follows a weaker-than-expected February payrolls reading, which has raised concerns that the U.S. economy could be showing signs of cooling.

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