Wall Street edges higher on more corporate profit reports

Wall Street is ticking higher Monday to kick off a week full of updates on the two things that set stock prices: how much profit companies are making and where interest rates are heading. The S&P 500 was 0.5% higher in afternoon trading, on pace for another gain after it broke a five-day losing streak at the end of last week.

Stocks of energy-producing companies were leading the way after crude prices rose, while Goldman Sachs rallied after reporting better profit for the spring than expected.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 76 points, or 0.2%, at 31,364, as of 1 p.m. Eastern time, and the Nasdaq composite was 1.2% higher.

Markets have been lurching mostly lower for weeks on worries that the Federal Reserve and other central banks around the world will slam the brake too hard on the economy in hopes of bringing down high inflation. If they’re too aggressive with their interest-rate hikes, they could cause a recession.

But some on Wall Street are seeing signs for at least temporary optimism. Oil prices have come off their highs, though they rose more than 4% Monday. A key report released last week also indicated expectations are easing for inflation among households. That could prevent a more vicious cycle from taking root and ease the pressure on the Fed.

Expectations have come down for how aggressively the Fed will raise interest rates at its meeting next week. Traders are now betting on a roughly one-in-three chance for a monster hike of a full percentage point, with the majority favoring a 0.75 percentage point increase. As recently as Thursday, the heavy bet was on a hike of a full point.

Interest rates are one of the two main levers that set prices for stocks. The other is corporate profits, which are under threat given high inflation and slowdowns in parts of the economy. For the moment, at least, analysts are still forecasting continued growth.

Earnings season kicked off last week, and banks have dominated the early part of the schedule for reporting how much they earned from April through June.

Goldman Sachs was among the latest to report earnings, and it rallied 2.1% after its profit and revenue were better than analysts expected. Synchrony Financial rose 1.8% after it likewise topped forecasts for profit and revenue.

Bank of America added 0.2% even though it fell short of analysts’ profit expectations. Despite all the worries about a possible recession, Bank of America said its customers’ spending and deposits remain strong.

IBM is set to report its results after trading closes for the day. Johnson & Johnson, American Airlines and Tesla are among the dozens of S&P 500 companies that are scheduled to follow later in the week.

In markets overseas, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index surged 2.7% after Chinese media reported that some stalled real estate projects had resumed construction after buyers threatened to stop their mortgage payments. Stocks in Shanghai added 1.6%.

Stocks also rose across much of the rest of Asia and Europe, with Germany’s DAX returning 0.7%. In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 2.98% from 2.96% late Friday. The two-year yield, which rose to 3.15%, is still above the 10-year yield. Some investors see that as an ominous sign that could presage a recession in a year or two, though the gap between them narrowed a bit.

The housing market in particular has felt the effect of more expensive mortgage rates. A measure of sentiment among home builders released Monday weakened more than economists expected and sank to its lowest level in more than two years.