In our previous analysis, we maintained a neutral stance, emphasizing the importance of monitoring price behavior. The pair has since broken below 155.50 and more importantly 155.00, confirming a bearish outlook.
Technical Outlook:
- The 50-day simple moving average is exerting downward pressure.
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing clear negative signals, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Bearish Scenario:
- A break below 154.00 could extend losses toward 153.40 and 152.50.
- Bullish Scenario:
- Stability above 155.50 would invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially triggering a recovery.
Market Risks & Upcoming Data:
- High-impact events today include the European Central Bank’s monetary policy statement, interest rate decision, and ECB President’s press conference, which may cause high volatility in the forex market.
Risk Warning: With geopolitical uncertainties at play, all scenarios remain possible.
Disclaimer: Trading in CFDs carries inherent risks. The analysis provided herein is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather an interpretation of the current price movement on the chart.
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