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Oil Prices Hold Steady Near Four-Month Highs Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Oil prices maintained stability on Tuesday, hovering near four-month highs achieved after breaking out of range-bound trading last week. However, the specter of escalating exports from Russia, compounded by Ukrainian attacks on refineries, exerted downward pressure on prices.

Price Movements

The Brent crude oil futures contract for May delivery dipped by 12 cents to $86.77 a barrel at 1201 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) prices experienced a slight decline of 14 cents, reaching $82.02. The imminent expiration of the WTI April contract, set for Wednesday, also contributed to market dynamics, with prices edging down by 8 cents to $82.64.

Factors Influencing Prices

Recent price surges have been underpinned by various factors, including diminished crude exports from Saudi Arabia and Iraq, alongside indicators of heightened demand and economic expansion in key markets like China and the United States.

Impact of Ukrainian Attacks on Russian Exports

However, the situation in Russia casts a shadow over market sentiment, as Ukrainian drone attacks on oil infrastructure have prompted a surge in Russian oil exports through western ports. The country is poised to increase exports by nearly 200,000 barrels per day in March, surpassing the monthly plan of 2.15 million barrels per day.

Uncertainty Surrounding U.S. Interest Rates

Furthermore, market sentiment remains tempered by uncertainty surrounding U.S. interest rates, with investors eagerly awaiting insights from the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting. This uncertainty adds an additional layer of complexity to oil price dynamics.

As oil markets navigate geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainties, stakeholders remain vigilant, closely monitoring developments for potential implications on supply and demand dynamics. The delicate balance between geopolitical factors and economic fundamentals continues to shape the trajectory of oil prices in the near term.

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