Market Drivers; US Session, June 20

The dollar recovered strong upside traction and maintained the price action in the risk complex depressed amidst interest rate cuts speculation and soft US data releases. In addition, the BoE and the Norges Bank kept their policy rates unchanged vs. a surprising cut by the SNB.

The DXY rose to four-day highs near 105.70 on the back of the rebound in US yields across the curve and the dominating risk-off mood in the FX galaxy. On June 21, the advanced S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMI will take most traders’ attention with CB Leading Index and Existing Home Sales.

Currencies

EUR/USD left behind part of the recent three-session advance and revisited the boundaries of the 1.0700 support amidst strong selling pressure. The EcoFin meeting is due on June 20, followed by the preliminary HCOB Manufacturing and Services PMI in Germany and Eurozone.

GBP/USD followed its risky peers and retreated to multi-day lows well south of the 1.2700 support following a firm Dollar and the dovish hold by the BoE. The flash S&P Global advanced Manufacturing and Services PMI come on June 21, along with the GfK Consumer Confidence, Public Sector Net Borrowing, and Retail Sales.

USD/JPY maintained its robust bullish bias and challenged fresh tops near the 159.00 barrier amidst the stronger Greenback and higher yields. The advanced Manufacturing and Services PMI will be published on June 21 followed by the Inflation Rate.

AUD/USD faced some renewed downside pressure and receded from recent weekly tops, revisiting the 0.6650 zone. In Australia, the flash Judo Bank Manufacturing and Services PMIs are expected on June 21.

Commodities

Gold prices advanced by more than 1% on Thursday during the North American session as US Treasury bond yields advanced to underpin the Greenback. Data from the United States was softer than expected, boosting traders’ confidence that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will ease policy at least twice in 2024. The XAU/USD trades at $2,356 at the time of writing.

WTI prices advanced to fresh highs and approached the $82.00 mark per barrel on the back of renewed geopolitical jitters and a weekly drop in US crude oil inventories.

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