European stock markets saw modest gains on Monday as easing tensions in the Middle East provided a positive backdrop at the start of a week loaded with key economic events. By 04:10 ET (08:10 GMT), Germany’s DAX rose 0.3%, France’s CAC 40 gained 0.5%, while the U.K.’s FTSE 100 slipped 0.1%.
Middle East Tensions Ease
Sentiment improved as weekend airstrikes by Israel on Iran avoided targeting oil or nuclear facilities, alleviating fears of severe energy supply disruptions in the region. This contributed to a relief rally, with investors cautiously optimistic about stability in the Middle East.
Key Economic Data on the Horizon
While Monday’s economic calendar is relatively quiet, investors are eyeing significant data releases later in the week. Eurozone third-quarter GDP and inflation figures are set to provide insights into the European Central Bank’s (ECB) next move, as it has already executed three rate cuts this year. Speculation is building that the ECB might opt for a larger rate cut at its upcoming meeting.
Germany’s Ifo Institute reported early Monday that export expectations dipped further, falling to -6.7 points in October from -6.5 in September. The automotive and metal industries are expected to experience the steepest declines in exports, highlighting persistent trade challenges.
U.K. and U.S. Economic Developments
In the U.K., the new Labour government is preparing to unveil its first budget on Wednesday, potentially indicating shifts in fiscal policy. Across the Atlantic, Friday’s upcoming U.S. jobs report will be closely watched, as it is a critical indicator for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook.