The Canadian dollar continues its gradual upward movement, following the expected bullish path from Negative pressure dominated the Canadian dollar’s movement during the previous session. The recent price action—marked by a low of 1.4240—suggests that a break below the support level of 1.4410 could trigger further downside, with a target around 1.4340, compensating for recent buying positions.
Technical Outlook
- Bearish Indicators:
- On the 4-hour chart, simple moving averages have begun to cross negatively, exerting pressure from above.
- This is supported by clear negative signals from the 14-day momentum indicator.
- Downside Scenario:
- There is a possibility of a bearish trend during today’s session, with the next target at 1.4265.
- Should the decline continue, prices may further drop toward 1.4210.
- Bullish Contingency:
- Conversely, an upward move with price consolidation above the resistance level of 1.4420 could halt the bearish scenario and steer the pair toward an upward target of 1.4535.
Risk Warning
Today, high-impact US economic data—including non-farm payrolls, unemployment rates, and average wages—is scheduled for release, which could lead to significant volatility.
Economic Data Impact:
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading foreign exchange involves risk, and traders should always conduct their own research and exercise caution.
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