Noor Trends News, Technical Analysis, Educational Tools and Recommendations
Support Holds Strong:
The support level at 75.50, highlighted in the previous technical report, proved effective in halting the downward momentum of US crude oil futures prices. It is emphasized that the resumption of the downward trend hinges upon breaching this critical support level.
Technical Analysis Insights:
A closer examination of oil prices reveals a consolidation within an upward trend, as evidenced by regular movements within the ascending price channel depicted on the 4-hour time frame chart. Furthermore, the simple moving averages continue to lend support to the daily upward trajectory of prices.
Path of Least Resistance:
With daily trading maintaining levels above the psychological barrier support at 77.00, the prevailing outlook favors further upward movement. The initial target is set at 78.55, with a breach of this level likely to amplify the strength of the upward trend, potentially opening the path towards 79.50 and 80.00, respectively.
Potential Reversal Scenario:
However, it is crucial to note that a breach below the 77.00 support level could derail the bullish scenario, leading to a bearish inclination in oil prices, with a possible retracement towards the 76.00 level.
Economic Data Watch:
Traders are advised to exercise caution as high-impact economic data is expected from both the British and US economies. Key releases include US monthly retail sales, annual core producer prices, monthly core producer prices, and the initial reading of the consumer confidence index issued by Michigan. Anticipate heightened price volatility in response to these data releases.
Risk Factors and Geopolitical Tensions:
The prevailing geopolitical tensions contribute to the heightened risk environment, potentially amplifying price volatility. Traders should remain vigilant and implement robust risk management strategies.
Conclusion:
US crude oil futures navigate amidst conflicting technical signals and external factors. While the support level holds firm, the path of least resistance points towards further upside potential. However, market participants must remain agile and adapt to evolving market dynamics, especially in the face of economic data releases and geopolitical uncertainties.
Note: Trading on CFDs involves risks. Therefore, all scenarios may be possible. This article is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather an explanatory reading of the price movement on the chart.
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