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Oil Falls as IEA Plans Record Emergency Reserve Release Amid Iran Conflict

Oil prices declined in Asian trading on Wednesday after reports that the International Energy Agency (IEA) is preparing the largest emergency oil reserve release in its history to counter supply disruptions caused by the ongoing conflict involving Iran.

By 00:55 ET (05:55 GMT), Brent crude futures for May delivery dropped nearly 1% to $86.93 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures slipped 0.5% to $83.07 per barrel.

Prices swung sharply immediately after the report from The Wall Street Journal, before gradually moving lower as traders assessed the potential impact of additional oil supply entering the market.

IEA weighs record oil reserve release

According to the report, the IEA is proposing a record release of strategic oil reserves, with member countries expected to review the plan during a meeting on Wednesday.

The potential release could exceed the 182 million barrels deployed in 2022 during the early stages of the Russia–Ukraine war, which currently stands as the largest coordinated emergency oil release.

The move is aimed at easing supply pressures created by the near-complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping corridor through which roughly 20% of the world’s oil supply typically passes.

Strait of Hormuz disruption fuels market fears

Energy markets have been shaken by escalating tensions in the region after Iran reportedly attacked vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz and planted naval mines in the channel.

Tehran has indicated it will only allow shipping to resume once U.S. and Israeli military strikes against Iran are halted, further heightening fears of prolonged supply disruptions.

While a large-scale release of strategic reserves could temporarily stabilize markets, analysts warn that a sustained closure of the strait would severely disrupt energy flows, particularly to major Asian economies heavily dependent on Gulf oil shipments.

Global efforts to stabilize supply

Reports earlier this week suggested that the Group of Seven (G7) nations are also considering coordinated releases of strategic reserves to ease pressure on global energy markets.

In addition, the United States has temporarily relaxed certain sanctions on Russian oil exports, allowing additional crude shipments to reach global markets in an effort to offset potential supply shortages.

Oil markets remain volatile

Oil prices have been highly volatile amid the rapidly evolving geopolitical situation.

Crude briefly surged close to $120 per barrel earlier this week as concerns over supply disruptions intensified, before retreating following reports of emergency reserve releases and other measures designed to stabilize supply.

Markets were also unsettled by conflicting signals regarding the security of shipping routes.

A now-deleted social media post by U.S. officials claimed the U.S. Navy had successfully escorted an oil tanker through the Strait of Hormuz, triggering a sharp drop in prices. The claim was later denied by the White House, while other reports suggested the Navy was reluctant to escort vessels due to the high security risks.

The conflicting reports caused oil prices to swing sharply, briefly falling to around $81 per barrel before rebounding once the post was removed.

War outlook remains uncertain

Earlier this week, U.S. President Donald Trump said the war with Iran could be nearing its end. However, Iranian officials rejected those remarks, and hostilities between Iran and the United States and Israel continue with no clear signs of de-escalation.

With geopolitical tensions still high and critical shipping routes under threat, oil markets are expected to remain volatile as traders closely monitor developments in the Middle East and potential supply interventions from global energy authorities.

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