The US Dollar Index (DXY) recovered from early Friday lows, trading near the 106.00 level. The index had dipped below this level as US markets opened on Black Friday after a holiday-shortened week.
Key Factors Influencing the DXY:
Hawkish Fed Stance: The Federal Reserve’s continued hawkish stance, signaling potential future rate hikes, has provided support for the US Dollar.
Strong US Economic Outlook: A robust US economy, characterized by strong GDP growth and low unemployment rates, has further bolstered the Greenback.
Geopolitical Uncertainty: Ongoing geopolitical tensions and global economic uncertainties have increased demand for safe-haven assets like the US Dollar.
Technical Factors:
Consolidation Phase: Technical indicators suggest a period of consolidation for the DXY, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) hovering near neutral levels.
Upward Trend Intact: Despite a recent dip below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), the index has quickly recovered, indicating that the overall uptrend remains intact.
Key Support and Resistance Levels: Key support levels for the DXY are situated around 106.00-106.50, while resistance is found at 108.00.
Outlook:
The US Dollar’s bullish momentum is expected to persist in the medium term, driven by a strong US economy and a hawkish Federal Reserve. However, short-term volatility may arise from geopolitical factors and market sentiment. Traders should closely monitor the 106.00 level, as a break below this level could signal further downside potential.