The U.S. government is on the brink of a shutdown, with funding set to expire at midnight Tuesday (0400 GMT Wednesday) unless lawmakers in Congress strike a last-minute deal.
Partisan Gridlock Over Healthcare and Spending
The Republican-controlled Senate is expected to hold another vote on a stopgap funding bill, but prospects remain dim after its initial failure.
- Republicans want to keep healthcare subsidies and Medicaid reforms separate from this bill.
- Democrats are demanding that extended healthcare benefits for millions of Americans be included, arguing it is essential for families under pressure.
The standoff highlights a broader divide over $1.7 trillion in annual agency funding, a portion of the federal government’s $7 trillion budget, much of which is already allocated to health, retirement, and debt service.
Shutdown Fallout: Agencies, Economy, and Markets
Federal agencies have already drawn up shutdown plans:
- Research offices, customer service centers, and other “non-essential” agencies would close.
- Airlines have warned of potential delays due to limited staffing.
- The Labor Department would suspend the release of its monthly jobs report, depriving markets and policymakers of a crucial gauge of the economy.
A shutdown would also heighten uncertainty in financial markets, coming on top of Trump’s latest round of sweeping tariffs on pharmaceuticals, furniture, and lumber.
Political Maneuvering Intensifies
Democrats are trying to exploit divisions between President Trump and his Republican allies. At a White House meeting Monday, Trump hinted at supporting some health-related tax breaks, but GOP leaders pushed back.
- Vice President JD Vance said Democrats had put forward some “reasonable” proposals, but criticized them for using a shutdown as leverage.
- In the House of Representatives, controlled by Republicans, no vote is scheduled until after the deadline passes, further clouding the outlook.
Trump’s Hardline Stance Adds Uncertainty
President Trump has amplified tensions by suggesting he could use executive powers to purge federal workers during a shutdown, beyond the typical furloughs of “non-essential” staff.
He has already refused to spend certain Congress-approved funds, prompting Democrats to question why they should back any spending legislation at all.
Historical Context and Political Stakes
- The U.S. last endured a 35-day shutdown in 2018–2019, the longest on record, during Trump’s first term.
- Democrats, facing mounting pressure ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, see healthcare subsidies as a unifying issue that resonates with voters.
Still, some Democrats worry whether risking a shutdown — with its potential political backlash — is worth the gamble.