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Wall Street on Pause for Christmas After Record Highs: Santa Rally in Sight for 2026

U.S. Markets Closed for Christmas, But the Buzz Continues: On December 25, 2025, U.S. markets are taking a holiday break, with both the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq closed for Christmas Day. While trading is paused, Wall Street is far from quiet. Investors are reflecting on record-setting closes from Christmas Eve and speculating on whether the so-called “Santa Claus rally” will carry momentum into the final days of 2025—and set a positive tone for 2026.

Record Highs Before the Holiday

The holiday-shortened session on December 24 delivered a strong finish for U.S. stocks:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 48,731 (+0.6%)

S&P 500: 6,932 (+0.32%)

Nasdaq Composite: 23,613 (+0.22%)

The rise was fueled by a rebound in AI-related companies and optimism that the Federal Reserve could ease rates in 2026, keeping investors cheerful as they headed into the holiday break.

Thin Holiday Liquidity: Calm or Deceptive?

Trading volume on Christmas Eve was significantly lighter than usual, emphasizing the seasonal lull. Low liquidity often makes market moves look smoother than they are—or more erratic in short bursts. Strategists caution against over-interpreting these late-December price moves, as portfolio rebalancing and positioning can dominate market activity.

Key Movers Heading into Year-End

Even with markets closed, several companies made headlines in the last session:

Sanofi & Dynavax: Sanofi agreed to acquire Dynavax for $2.2 billion, sending the vaccine maker’s stock sharply higher.

Nvidia & AI Deals: Nvidia inked a licensing deal with Groq for AI chip technology, highlighting ongoing investment in AI infrastructure.

Micron: Shares continued their strong run, reflecting optimism in AI-driven hardware demand.

Nike & Intel: Nike surged after a high-profile insider purchase, while Intel slipped following news related to chip testing delays.

Novo Nordisk: The U.S. approval of its oral weight-management pill Wegovy® positions the company for early 2026 sales growth.

These stories underline how tech, AI, and healthcare continue to dominate late-2025 market narratives.

2026 Outlook: Optimism With Caution

Strategists see three pillars driving potential market gains in 2026:

Earnings Growth: Companies are expected to report strong profits, extending the momentum from 2025.

AI Spending: Continued investment in AI infrastructure is fueling growth across tech and data sectors.

Fed Policy: Investors anticipate measured rate cuts, balancing support for equities without stoking inflation.

While the outlook is positive, analysts note risks: elevated valuations, potential geopolitical tensions, and reliance on AI returns could influence market performance.

Santa Claus Rally Watch

Historically, the period from late December through early January tends to favor gains, with December 26 often cited as one of the most consistently positive trading days of the year. With markets reopening Friday, all eyes will be on whether holiday momentum can translate into a sustained push into 2026.

Markets Pause, But the Story Moves On

Even with trading on hold, Wall Street remains active in sentiment and positioning. Record closes, major corporate announcements, and forecasts for 2026 are shaping expectations. When the bell rings on December 26, investors will be looking for confirmation that late-December gains are more than a holiday mirage, and that the path into 2026 is set for continued growth.

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