Following the FOMC’s decision to keep interest rates steady and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference, which in March established a higher for longer attitude while also hinting at three rate decreases before 2024 ends, the US dollar fell to its lowest point this week.
FOMC Decision in Line with Expectations
The FOMC’s decision to maintain interest rates between 5.25% to 5.50% is in line with most predictions. Forecasts for inflation and economic growth were updated to reflect these changes, while those for unemployment were unchanged. Before lowering rates, Fed policymakers want further proof that they are winning the war on inflation.
The Fed’s median projection for interest rates in 2024 is still 4.6%, despite recent strong inflation data. For 2025, there was a little increase in this median prediction. Jerome Powell underlined that the Fed will continue to base its decisions on continuous economic assessments and won’t overreact to short-term data changes.
Dollar’s Reaction
The news from the Fed caused the Dollar Index (DXY) to decline -0.42%, trading at 103.381, at the time of writing. Investors also monitored Powell’s remarks and the Fed’s decision as evidence that the cycle of interest rate hikes may be coming to an end. The dollar was further pressured as a result of rising stock prices and falling Treasury yields.
The Fed said that going forward, data-driven decisions will be made with an emphasis on controlling both unemployment and inflation. The Fed is convinced that these are transitory hiccups, despite the fact that recent inflation data were higher than anticipated. Technical signs are now being watched by analysts to determine whether the Dollar’s slide will continue.
The US Dollar declined as a result of Powell’s cautious optimism and the Fed’s determination to maintain rate stability. Investors are now watching economic data in the future to determine whether the Fed will keep change rates in line with expectations.