Sterling continues to grind lower in line with our bearish view, edging toward the 1.3100 target (last at 1.3108).
Technical outlook
- Momentum: RSI has exited oversold but remains negative, consistent with bearish control.
- Trend/SMAs: Price holds below the simple moving averages, which continue to act as dynamic resistance.
- Structure: Ongoing stability beneath 1.3175 keeps the downside bias intact.
Base case (bearish while below 1.3175)
- A move toward 1.3100 support is favored.
- A decisive break/4H close below 1.3100 would open 1.3065 next.
Invalidation / upside toggle
- A confirmed 1H close above 1.3175 would neutralize immediate downside pressure and allow a corrective push toward 1.3210.
Risk note
Volatility is elevated amid trade and geopolitical headlines. Use prudent sizing and firm stops; reassess quickly if key levels break.
Trading CFDs involves risks, and therefore all scenarios may be plausible. The information provided above is not a recommendation to sell or buy but rather an explanatory reading of price movement on the chart.
| S1: 1.3100 | R1: 1.3175 |
| S2: 1.3065 | R2: 1.3210 |
| S3: 1.3030 | R3: 1.3245 |
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