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Oil Suffers Under Negative Pressure 18/11/2025

WTI slipped in early trade, consolidating near $59.40.

Technical outlook

  • SMAs: Price holds beneath the simple moving averages, which act as dynamic resistance and cap rebounds.
  • RSI: Negative momentum signals persist, consistent with a downward bias.

Base case (bearish while below $60.10)

  • Staying under $60.10 keeps the risk tilted lower.
  • A decisive break/4H close below $59.40 would likely target $59.00, then $58.65.

Invalidation / bounce path

  • Reclaiming and holding above $60.10 would negate the immediate bearish setup and allow a corrective push toward $60.70.

Risk note
Volatility is elevated amid trade and geopolitical headlines. Use prudent sizing and firm stops; reassess quickly if the key levels give way.

Trading in CFDs involves high risk, and therefore all scenarios are subject to potential outcomes. The analysis provided above is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather an illustrative reading of price action on the chart.

S1: 59.00R1: 60.10
S2: 58.65R2: 60.70
S3: 58.05R3: 61.05

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