A bullish bias has re-emerged, with futures printing a $61.25 high.
Technical outlook
- 50-SMA (4H): Price is holding above the moving average, keeping the uptrend intact despite a routine pullback on profit-taking.
- RSI: Attempting to turn higher, consistent with a resumption of upside momentum.
Base case (bullish while above $59.90)
- Holding $59.90 preserves the constructive setup.
- A clean break/4H close above $61.45 would likely extend gains toward $62.10.
Alternative / downside
- A 4H close below $59.90 would undermine the bullish view and shift risk toward $59.00 initially.
Risk note
Volatility remains elevated amid trade and geopolitical tensions. Use prudent sizing and firm stops; reassess quickly if the key levels give way.
Trading in CFDs involves high risk, and therefore all scenarios are subject to potential outcomes. The analysis provided above is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather an illustrative reading of price action on the chart.
| S1: 59.90 | R1: 61.45 |
| S2: 59.00 | R2: 62.15 |
| S3: 58.30 | R3: 63.05 |
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