Gold recovers on softer US dollar, less hawkish Fed bets

Gold price is advancing towards $1,800.00 after a healthy correction. The precious metal trades at 1,792 at the time of writing amid a risk-on market sentiment that has infused fresh blood into the gold bulls.

Cooler than expected US CPI has trimmed extremely hawkish Fed bets. Gold price has picked bids below $1,790.00 and is extending its recovery above the immediate hurdle of $1,792.00 amid a broader risk-on in the global market.

Gold is expected to continue its upside run-up after a healthy correction to near $1,808.00 as the Fed has got a sigh of relief after a downward shift in the US CPI data.

On Wednesday, the US Inflation landed at 8.5%, lower than the expectations of 8.7% and the prior release of 9.1%. Oil prices were vulnerable in July and they have been the real catalyst behind the soaring price pressures.

The downside pressure on the oil prices is temporary as the Russia-Ukraine war has made a serious dent in the oil supply for a prolonged period. And, the Fed needs a series of declines in the inflation rate to shift its stance to neutral.


The US dollar index is wavering around 105.20, however, the downside remains favored as a lower inflation rate has trimmed the odds of an extremely hawkish stance by Fed chair Jerome Powell in September monetary policy meeting.

Technically; gold price has sensed a decent buying interest after declining to near the lower portion of the Rising Channel at $1,788.00, formed on the four-hour scale. The upper portion of the above-mentioned chart pattern is placed from July 22 high at $1,739.37 while the lower portion is plotted from July 27 low at $1,711.55.

A golden cross, represented by the 50-and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $1,768.90 adds to the upside filters.

While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shifted into the 40.00-60.00 range pertaining to a mild correction. The gold bulls have lost the upside momentum for some time, however, the bullish bias is far from over.

It is worth noting that gold prices have been up by over 1.5% since the start of August against the US Dollar, putting XAU/USD on track to record its first monthly gain since March. After falling to their lowest level of 2022 last month, prices began rising and are currently tracking to see a fourth consecutive weekly gain. That would be the longest weekly winning streak since August 2021.