Gold prices traded flat-to-lower on Monday, remaining close to recent record highs, as safe-haven demand surged amid growing uncertainty over the U.S. economy and potential trade tariffs.
Key Market Moves
- Spot gold rose 0.1% to $2,940.18 per ounce, while April gold futures remained flat at $2,952.97 per ounce (as of 05:37 GMT).
- Gold hit a record high of $2,954.97 last week, driven by strong haven demand and falling risk appetite in financial markets.
Drivers of Gold’s Strength
- Economic Slowdown Concerns
- Weak U.S. data reinforced fears of slowing private spending:
- U.S. Services PMI fell below expectations.
- Consumer sentiment weakened, dropping to a 15-month low.
- Retail sales data indicated softening demand in January.
- Sticky inflation and high interest rates are adding pressure to the U.S. economy.
- Weak U.S. data reinforced fears of slowing private spending:
- Trade Tariff Jitters
- Gold demand increased after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened new tariffs on key sectors.
- Investors fear retaliatory tariffs from major U.S. trading partners, which could disrupt markets.
- Dollar Weakness Supporting Gold
- The U.S. dollar slipped as markets priced in potential Fed rate cuts in response to economic softening.
- A weaker dollar typically boosts gold prices, making it more attractive for foreign investors.
Market Outlook
Gold’s trajectory will likely depend on:
- Further U.S. economic data releases, particularly inflation and employment figures.
- Fed rate expectations, as investors assess the likelihood of more cuts in 2025.
- Global trade tensions, especially developments around U.S. tariffs.
For now, gold remains well-supported near record highs as investors seek safety amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties.