Noor Trends News, Technical Analysis, Educational Tools and Recommendations
Gold’s Rebound Efforts:
Gold prices showed signs of a temporary recovery in yesterday’s trading session, buoyed by a decline in the US dollar following the release of US retail data. The precious metal reached its highest level at $2008 per ounce, reflecting shifting market dynamics.
Technical Analysis Insights:
Examining the 4-hour time frame chart from a technical perspective, gold prices remain anchored below a crucial support level that was previously breached and now acts as resistance, based on the 2016 38.20% Fibonacci retracement concept. Additionally, the Stochastic indicator indicates overbought conditions, signaling potential downward pressure.
Negative Expectations Persist:
Despite the temporary recovery, negative expectations persist for gold prices. The prevailing outlook suggests a continuation of the downward trend, with a potential corrective move towards the next significant level at 1977, representing the 50.0% correction. Traders are advised to closely monitor the price action, particularly around the 1977 level, as a break below could further accelerate the downtrend, potentially targeting 1937.
Potential Reversal Scenario:
A key reversal scenario could unfold if gold prices manage to stabilize and consolidate above the 2016 level. Such a development would halt the downward correction and pave the way for temporary recovery towards levels around 2028 and 2035, respectively.
Economic Data Watch:
Market participants should remain vigilant as high-impact economic data is expected from both the British and US economies. Notable releases include US monthly retail sales, annual core producer prices, monthly core producer prices, and the initial reading of the consumer confidence index issued by Michigan. Expect heightened price volatility in response to these data releases.
Risk Factors and Geopolitical Tensions:
It is important to note the elevated risk levels in the current environment, exacerbated by ongoing geopolitical tensions. Heightened price volatility may be witnessed as a result, emphasizing the need for prudent risk management strategies.
Conclusion:
Gold’s attempt at a temporary recovery amidst a weakening US dollar underscores the complex interplay of factors influencing market sentiment. Traders should exercise caution, closely monitoring technical indicators and economic developments, while navigating the inherent risks posed by geopolitical tensions and volatile price movements.
Note: Trading on CFDs involves risks. Therefore, all scenarios may be possible. This article is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather an explanatory reading of the price movement on the chart
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