GBP/USD Moving Lower, Looking For A Break

The GBP/USD pair has continued moving lower. Economists at Credit Suisse stay bearish and look for a break below 1.30 to open up a fall to 1.2855/29. Resistance has been seen at 1.3168/84

Economists now look for an imminent break below 1.3013/00, which would reassert the core downtrend, especially if daily MACD also sees a confirmed cross lower. Support is then seen next at the lower end of the nine-month channel at 1.2910/05 and eventually the 50% retracement of the uptrend from 2020 and November 2020 low at 1.2855/29. We would look for a fresh floor here for a phase of consolidation.

Resistance is seen at 1.3108/09 initially, then 1.3168/84, a close above which can see a move back to 1.3223/26 and potentially a retest of 1.3287/99, which we would look to cap the market if reached, especially with the falling 55-day average now not far above at 1.3323.