EUR/USD met the prior report’s first upside target at 1.1720 before stalling; price now trades below 1.1720, keeping it a pivotal near-term resistance despite the intraday bid.
Technical:
While the broader structure remains down, an intraday bullish sub-trend is developing. SMAs continue to act as dynamic support beneath price. RSI has rotated up from oversold, raising the risk of positive divergence. A nascent double-bottom pattern further argues for a corrective push higher if resistance yields.
Base case:
Holding above 1.1640 favors a corrective advance. A clean break through 1.1720 would likely unlock 1.1760 as the next upside objective.
Alternative:
A decisive break below 1.1640 on an hourly close would re-establish downside pressure, opening 1.1600 initially.
Risk:
Trade/geopolitical headlines can trigger abrupt swings. Use disciplined sizing and clear invalidation levels; this setup may not suit all risk profiles.
Risk Disclaimer: Trading CFDs involves risks, and therefore the scenarios outlined above are not a recommendation to sell or buy but rather an explanatory reading of price movement on the chart.
S1: 1.1640 | R1: 1.1720 |
S2: 1.1600 | R2: 1.1760 |
S3: 1.1560 | R3: 1.1795 |