Price action has been mostly sideways with a slight topside bias, but the 1.1600 psychological barrier is still capping momentum.
Technical outlook
- SMAs: Price is holding above the simple moving averages, which continue to underpin the bullish case on dips.
- RSI: Working off overbought readings and could turn constructive again in the near term.
Base case (bullish above 1.1530, confirmation needed)
- Staying above 1.1530 keeps the intraday bullish tilt intact.
- A clear break/4H close above 1.1600 would likely extend toward 1.1630, then 1.1660.
Alternative / downside
- Back below 1.1530 would reintroduce downside pressure and retest 1.1500 before the next directional cue.
Risk note
Volatility remains elevated amid trade tensions. Use prudent sizing and firm stops; reassess quickly if the key levels give way.
Risk Disclaimer: Trading CFDs involves risks, and therefore the scenarios outlined above are not a recommendation to sell or buy but rather an explanatory reading of price movement on the chart.
| S1: 1.1545 | R1: 1.1600 |
| S2: 1.1500 | R2: 1.1630 |
| S3: 1.1470 | R3: 1.1665 |
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