The EUR/USD pair experienced a period of mild losses on Wednesday, ultimately settling near the 1.0800 level after the European trading session closed. Despite this intraday softness, the pair remains entrenched within a broader bullish trend, characterized by its sustained position above key upward-sloping moving averages. This alignment suggests underlying strength, though the market currently lacks strong directional conviction, leading to consolidation within a narrow daily range.
Technically, the EUR/USD is receiving robust support from a confluence of moving averages. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.0773, along with the 100-day and 200-day SMAs at 1.0520 and 1.0729, respectively, all maintain their upward trajectories, reinforcing the prevailing bullish sentiment. Further bolstering this perspective, the 30-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and SMA also contribute to the overall positive technical outlook, with the pair consistently trading above these dynamic support levels.
However, a closer examination of momentum oscillators reveals a more nuanced picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) registers at 57, indicating a neutral momentum, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) at 29 suggests a moderate trend strength. Notably, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has triggered a mild sell signal, despite remaining above its signal line, signaling potential short-term weakness. The combined RSI and Stochastic indicators further corroborate the neutral stance, suggesting a lack of decisive momentum in either direction.
In terms of key levels, immediate support is identified at 1.0773, with a subsequent level at 1.0765. On the upside, the pair faces initial resistance around 1.0820, followed by a more significant barrier near 1.0853, where bullish momentum may encounter substantial hurdles. Until a decisive breakout occurs beyond these critical levels, the EUR/USD pair is likely to continue its current consolidation phase, navigating the interplay between its underlying bullish trend and the mixed signals from its momentum indicators.
