Enverus Lowers Oil Price Forecast

In the latest signal of a faltering oil market, energy analytics and intelligence firm Enverus said it was lowering its outlook for crude oil prices in the face of a looming recession and signs of demand destruction. In an email, the firm said it was reducing its outlook for the international Brent price to drop below $100 by the end of 2022.

“Until July we have argued that Brent pricing was well supported at $100/bbl. However, the downside risks are becoming more prominent, and we now expect some sort of European recession by the end of the year.

This will loosen balances by 1-2 MMbbl/d as weaker global demand emerges. We expect Brent to drift to the mid-$80s/low-$90s by year-end,” said Bill Farren-Price, one of the report’s authors and a director at Enverus Intelligence Research.