Dogecoin (DOGE) prices remain subdued, trading below $0.40 despite recent bullish momentum. This consolidation follows accusations leveled against Elon Musk by French President Emmanuel Macron regarding alleged interference in German elections. While Musk’s influence on the cryptocurrency market, particularly Dogecoin, is undeniable, traders appear undeterred. On Tuesday, the coin lost -9.02 %, trading at $0.353.
A Surge in Speculative Activity
Despite the uncertainty surrounding the Macron-Musk dispute, Dogecoin derivatives markets are witnessing a surge in activity. In the 24 hours following Macron’s statements, traders opened over $1.2 billion in new positions, pushing Dogecoin’s open interest above $4 billion. This significant increase in open interest during a period of price consolidation suggests heightened anticipation among traders, potentially signaling an imminent price breakout.
Factors Fueling Optimism
Several factors could contribute to a bullish scenario for Dogecoin:
• Increased Market Liquidity: The influx of new positions enhances market liquidity, providing a more fertile ground for price volatility and potential breakouts.
• Musk’s Counter-Response: If Musk effectively counters Macron’s accusations, it could reignite bullish sentiment among Dogecoin traders, particularly given his historical influence on the cryptocurrency.
• Broader Crypto Market Rally: The ongoing rally in the broader cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin surpassing $100,000, could provide a tailwind for Dogecoin.
Technical Analysis Points to Potential Breakout
Technical indicators on the Dogecoin daily chart support the possibility of a breakout.
• Keltner Channel: Dogecoin continues to trade within the upper range of the Keltner Channel, indicating strong upward momentum.
• Bull Bear Power: The Bull Bear Power indicator remains in positive territory, confirming buyer dominance.
Potential Price Scenarios
• Bullish Scenario: A sustained break above the $0.40 resistance level could pave the way for a move towards $0.50, followed by potential resistance levels at $0.45 and $0.50.
• Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold the $0.40 level could trigger a pullback towards the $0.36 support level, near the Keltner Channel midline. A break below this level could lead to further declines towards $0.33, the lower channel boundary.