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CAD Breaks the Descending Trendline 4/11/2025

The bullish setup remains intact: price has held above the 1.4000 psychological floor, hit our first target at 1.4040, and printed a 1.4076 high.

Technical outlook

  • Structure: A break above the descending trendline is holding.
  • SMAs: Simple moving averages have rotated beneath price, providing support.
  • RSI: Easing from overbought without breaking down—consistent with scope for further upside.

Base case (bullish while above 1.4000)

  • Maintaining acceptance above 1.4000 keeps momentum constructive toward 1.4095.
  • A decisive break/4H close above 1.4095 would likely extend to 1.4120.

Alternative / pullback

  • A 4H close back below 1.4000 would soften the bias and favor a retest of 1.3970 before buyers attempt to reassert control.

Risk note
Volatility is elevated amid trade and geopolitical headlines. Use prudent position sizing and firm stops; reassess quickly if these key levels give way.

Trading in CFDs involves risks, and therefore all scenarios are subject to potential outcomes. The analysis provided above is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather an illustrative reading of price action on the chart.

S1: 1.4020R1: 1.4095
S2: 1.3970R2: 1.4120
S3: 1.3940R3: 1.4170

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