Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline on January 10th as unexpectedly strong US job market data diminished expectations of imminent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. This news dampened investor enthusiasm for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as the prospect of tighter monetary policy loomed.
The robust employment figures, exceeding market forecasts, indicated a resilient economy, reducing the likelihood of the Fed easing its monetary policy as aggressively as previously anticipated. The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool reflected this shift, significantly lowering the probability of even a small 0.25% rate cut at the upcoming January meeting.
This development directly impacted Bitcoin’s price, which experienced a sudden drop of $1,500. While the holiday season typically influences hiring trends, the market’s focus quickly shifted towards the incoming administration’s potential impact on economic policies.
Despite this setback, analysts remained cautiously optimistic. A bullish divergence observed on the daily relative strength index (RSI) suggested a potential price reversal. This pullback from all-time highs aligns with historical patterns observed in previous Bitcoin bull markets, increasing the probability of a subsequent rebound.
However, the market remained volatile, with Bitcoin trading within a well-defined range, highlighting the need for a broader perspective beyond short-term price fluctuations.
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