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AI Hype vs. Reality: Why Adobe’s Stock Fell Despite Beating Earnings

Adobe’s stock is taking a hit despite the company reporting better-than-expected quarterly results. On Friday, shares of the creative software giant ticked lower, a reaction that seems to contradict its strong earnings report. The company announced record revenue of $5.99 billion, a 10% increase from the previous year, and non-GAAP earnings per share of $5.31, which beat analyst forecasts.

The All-Important AI Narrative

Adobe’s earnings were driven by a major push into artificial intelligence. The company’s AI-influenced annual recurring revenue (ARR) has now surged past $5 billion, and its AI-first products have already exceeded their $250 million year-end ARR target. Management raised its full-year revenue and earnings targets, a sign of confidence that its AI strategy is gaining traction. The company’s CEO stated that AI represents the “biggest opportunity for Adobe in decades” and highlighted strong adoption of new features like Acrobat AI Assistant and Adobe Firefly.

A Sidelined Stock

Despite this impressive performance and optimistic outlook, the stock has struggled. After a brief climb in after-hours trading, shares declined on Friday. This reaction highlights a key challenge for the company: investor expectations.

Even with strong numbers, Adobe’s stock is down over 20% year-to-date, trailing the broader tech sector. Investors are worried about the pace of monetization from the company’s AI tools and stiff competition from emerging AI-native rivals. It seems the market is demanding more than just strong growth; it wants proof that Adobe’s AI leadership will translate into significant, sustainable financial returns.

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