In early Asian trading on Monday, oil prices saw a slight decline following Israel’s announcement of the cessation of strikes on the southern Gaza Strip, providing some relief from concerns about potential disruptions to supplies from the Middle East. Here’s a closer look at the key developments shaping oil markets:
Brent and WTI Futures Retreat
- Brent crude futures dipped by 43 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $81.76 per barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 46 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $76.38 per barrel by 0135 GMT.
- Despite the decline, geopolitical tensions in the region, particularly fears of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict escalating and its potential impact on oil supplies, had pushed prices up by approximately 6 percent during the previous week.
US Energy Companies Increase Rig Count
- News from the United States provided some reassurance, as energy companies in the country raised the number of oil and natural gas rigs to their highest levels since mid-December. This uptick may signal a potential increase in production.
- Last week, domestic oil production in the US returned to a record level of 13.3 million barrels per day, further contributing to market dynamics.
Ongoing Concerns about Demand
- Despite the focus on supply-side factors, concerns about demand persist, with a Federal Reserve official indicating a reluctance to recommend an interest rate cut. Such a move could help address inflation concerns but may also dampen economic growth and subsequently reduce oil demand.
As market participants continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and assess their implications for oil supplies, attention remains divided between geopolitical risks and demand-side considerations. Any shifts in these dynamics are likely to influence oil prices in the days ahead.