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The Pound Leans Bearish 7/4/2026

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Bearish pressure has returned to dominate GBP/USD price action after the pair ran into simple moving average resistance, forcing the formation of a downward trend.

Technical Outlook

The simple moving averages continue to exert downward pressure from above, with the 50-day moving average converging near the 1.3260 resistance level — further reinforced by clearly bearish signals on the RSI, painting a consistently negative technical picture.

Key Levels to Watch

As long as price holds below 1.3270 on a daily closing basis, the bearish bias remains the most likely scenario, targeting 1.3185 as a first objective. A break below that level would extend losses toward 1.3140. On the other hand, a sustained recovery back above 1.3270 would neutralise the proposed bearish scenario and open the door for a temporary rebound toward 1.3315.

⚠️ Risk Warning: Trading carries a high level of risk amid ongoing trade and geopolitical tensions — all scenarios remain possible and sound risk management is essential.

Trading CFDs involves risks, and therefore all scenarios may be plausible. The information provided above is not a recommendation to sell or buy but rather an explanatory reading of price movement on the chart.

S1: 1.3185R1: 1.3275
S2: 1.3135R2: 1.3315
S3: 1.3095R3: 1.3365

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