Home / Technical Analysis / Daily Technical Analysis / Pound Maintains its Downward Trajectory 21/11/2025

Pound Maintains its Downward Trajectory 21/11/2025

The outlook is unchanged: the pair remains in a gradual downtrend.

Technical outlook

  • SMAs: Sitting overhead as dynamic resistance, dampening rebound attempts.
  • RSI / structure: Momentum stays negative with a bearish pattern reinforcing the daily downtrend.

Base case (bearish continuation)

  • A decisive break/4H close below 1.3040 would likely press toward 1.3000; follow-through exposes 1.2970.

Invalidation / recovery path

  • A confirmed 1H close above 1.3130 would ease immediate downside pressure and allow a bounce toward 1.3170, then 1.3200.

Event risk

  • High-impact releases today: UK Retail Sales, prelim Manufacturing & Services PMIs for the UK, Eurozone, and US. Expect elevated volatility around the prints.

Risk note
Volatility is elevated. Use prudent sizing and firm stops; reassess quickly if trigger levels give way.

Trading CFDs involves risks, and therefore all scenarios may be plausible. The information provided above is not a recommendation to sell or buy but rather an explanatory reading of price movement on the chart.

S1: 1.3045R1: 1.3130
S2: 1.3000R2: 1.3170
S3: 1.2960R3: 1.3220

Check Also

Gold-Dollar Faceoff: Who Takes the Edge? 21/11/2025

Dollar strength post-jobs data dragged gold back into a downtrend. Technical outlook SMAs: Overhead and …