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Oil Under Selling Pressure 21/11/2025

WTI extended lower in line with the prior bearish view, tagging the first target at $58.50 and printing a $58.05 low.

Technical outlook

  • 50-SMA (4H): Price remains below the average, keeping downside pressure intact.
  • Structure: A bearish pattern with lower highs/lows supports continuation risk.

Base case (bearish while below $59.05)

  • A decisive break/4H close below $58.00 would likely press toward $57.50 first support; follow-through exposes $56.80.

Invalidation / bounce path

  • Reclaiming and holding above $59.05 would temper immediate downside and allow a corrective bounce.

Event risk

  • High-impact releases today: UK Retail Sales, prelim Manufacturing/Services PMIs for the UK, Eurozone, and US. Expect elevated volatility around the prints.

Risk note
Backdrop remains headline-sensitive. Use prudent sizing and firm stops; reassess quickly if trigger levels give way.

Trading in CFDs involves high risk, and therefore all scenarios are subject to potential outcomes. The analysis provided above is not a recommendation to buy or sell but rather an illustrative reading of price action on the chart.

S1: 57.50R1: 59.50
S2: 56.75R2: 60.80
S3: 55.50R3: 61.50

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