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Asia Equities: Mixed Session as Wall Street Highs Lift Sentiment; Australia Lags on Hot CPI

Market snapshot

  • Wall Street closed at record highs; U.S. equity futures were little changed.
  • Nikkei 225 +2% to a fresh record 51,311.47; KOSPI up as much as 1.7% to a record 4,078.99 on AI momentum.
  • CSI 300 +0.5%, Shanghai Comp +0.4%; Hong Kong closed for holiday.
  • Singapore STI −0.3%; India Nifty 50 +0.2%.
  • Australia S&P/ASX 200 −0.9% after hotter-than-expected inflation.

Drivers and Details

AI-led strength in Japan and Korea

  • Japan’s Nikkei 225 notched a new all-time high, with chip and AI-adjacent names leading.
  • Nvidia rallied ~5% overnight in the U.S. after announcing plans to build seven AI supercomputers for the U.S. Department of Energy, reinforcing global AI-capex tailwinds.
  • Korea’s KOSPI hit a record as SK Hynix jumped on a record Q3 profit, buoyed by robust demand for HBM chips used in AI servers.
  • Japanese sentiment was additionally supported by a newly signed U.S.–Japan rare earths agreement, seen as positive for supply-chain resilience.

China steady; regional divergence elsewhere

  • Mainland China stocks advanced modestly (CSI 300 +0.5%; Shanghai +0.4%) amid a constructive global lead.
  • Hong Kong was shut for a public holiday.
  • Singapore slipped (STI −0.3%), while India’s Nifty 50 inched higher (+0.2%), underscoring mixed risk appetite across Asia.

Fed in focus; mega-cap earnings ahead

  • Markets are fixed on the U.S. Federal Reserve policy decision later today, with consensus looking for a 25 bps rate cut.
  • Beyond the headline cut, traders will parse guidance on the path of further easing and any tweaks to quantitative tightening.
  • Earnings from Microsoft and Alphabet are due later and could sway the post-Fed equity narrative.

Australia underperforms on hotter CPI

  • Australia’s Q3 CPI surprised to the upside: headline +1.3% q/q; trimmed mean +1.0% q/q, lifting the annual trimmed mean to 3.0%.
  • The data knocked back expectations for near-term RBA easing, with markets pushing a potential rate cut closer to year-end.
  • The inflation beat pressured local risk assets, sending the ASX 200 down 0.9%.

What to watch next

  • Fed statement and dots/press conference tone for signals on the glide path of cuts and QT.
  • U.S. mega-cap tech earnings for AI demand read-throughs and capex guidance.
  • RBA-rate path repricing in Aussie rates and knock-on effects for AUD and ASX sector dispersion.

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