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Euro Drops: Does a 1.1600 Break Signal Sharper Declines Ahead? 26/8/2025

A bearish trend dominated the EUR/USD pair at the start of this week’s trading, erasing the gains it had previously achieved against the US dollar.

Technical Outlook – 4-hour timeframe:

The pair’s failure to hold above the psychological resistance at 1.1700 has led to renewed downside pressure, with current movements stabilizing near the daily low of 1.1628. The 50-period simple moving average continues to act as dynamic resistance, while persistent negative signals from the Relative Strength Index (RSI) confirm the dominance of bearish momentum.

Probable Technical Scenario:

As long as the pair remains below 1.1700, the bearish outlook prevails. A confirmed break below the 1.1600 support would reinforce downside momentum, opening the way toward 1.1530 as the first support, followed by 1.1460 as the next key target.

Conversely:

A clear breakout and sustained stability above 1.1700 could provide the pair with temporary relief, reducing recent losses and allowing for a rebound toward 1.1775, followed by 1.1830 as important resistance levels.

Warning: Risks remain elevated amid ongoing trade tensions, and all scenarios should be considered.

Risk Disclaimer: Trading CFDs involves risks, and therefore the scenarios outlined above are not a recommendation to sell or buy but rather an explanatory reading of price movement on the chart.

S1: 1.1580R1: 1.1700
S2: 1.1530R2: 1.1775
S3: 1.1455R3: 1.1830


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