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Gold Hits Record High Amid Trade War Fears, Markets Eye Inflation Data

Gold surged to an all-time high in Asian trading on Friday, driven by increased safe-haven demand after U.S. President Donald Trump imposed steep tariffs on the auto sector.

Gold Extends Gains as Trade Uncertainty Rises

  • Spot gold climbed 0.6% to $3,073.79/oz, after touching a record $3,077.67/oz earlier.
  • Gold futures (May delivery) gained 0.7% to $3,112.72/oz, peaking at $3,117.50/oz.

Gold’s strong March rally reflects growing market anxiety over:

  • Trump’s tariffs, including potential reciprocal duties on major U.S. trading partners starting April 2.
  • Geopolitical risks, with tensions escalating between Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Hamas.
  • Recession fears, as trade disruptions and inflation weigh on economic growth.

Global Trade War Concerns Lift Safe-Haven Demand

Trump’s 25% tariff on foreign-made cars has sparked retaliation threats from Canada, China, Europe, and Mexico, signaling the start of a global trade war.

Trump is also considering tariffs on semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and select commodities, adding to market uncertainty.

Other Precious & Industrial Metals React

  • Platinum rose to $989.55/oz.
  • Silver hit a 12-year high, rising 0.6% to $35.283/oz.
  • Copper retreated, with LME copper down 0.3% ($9,828.80/ton) and U.S. copper futures down 0.4% ($5.1015/pound) after reaching record highs earlier this week.

Markets Brace for PCE Inflation Data

The February PCE price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, is due Friday.

  • Core PCE inflation is expected to remain above the Fed’s 2% target, reducing the likelihood of early rate cuts.
  • Recent consumer and producer inflation data showed mixed signals, keeping investors on edge.

With tariffs complicating the inflation outlook, markets are closely watching the Fed’s next moves.

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