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Market Drivers; North American Session

US Dollar Strengthens as Market Prices in Fewer Fed Rate Cuts

The US Dollar Index surged to its highest level since November 2022, exceeding the 110.00 mark, driven by a shift in market expectations towards fewer, if any, interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year. This shift stems from recent economic data, suggesting a more resilient economy and potentially slower-than-expected inflation decline.

Key Economic Data and Events:

US Producer Prices: This key inflation indicator will be closely watched by market participants for insights into inflationary pressures.

Fed Speakers: Comments from Federal Reserve officials, including Schmid and Williams, will provide further clues on the central bank’s monetary policy outlook.

Eurozone: ECB Executive Board member Lane is scheduled to deliver a speech, which could offer insights into the European Central Bank’s policy stance.

Currencies – Price Action

EUR/USD: The Euro weakened significantly against the US Dollar, extending its bearish trend below the 1.0200 level.

GBP/USD: The British Pound also depreciated against the US Dollar, briefly dipping below the 1.2100 mark before recovering some ground.

USD/JPY: The Japanese Yen strengthened against the US Dollar, marking its third consecutive day of gains.

AUD/USD: The Australian Dollar experienced a modest rebound after four consecutive days of losses, but remained under pressure near the 0.6100 level.

Commodities:

Oil Prices: WTI crude oil prices continued their upward trajectory, surpassing the $78.00 per barrel mark, supported by further US sanctions on Russian oil exports.

Gold and Silver: Gold prices retreated from recent highs, while Silver prices declined sharply, falling below the crucial $30.00 per ounce support level.

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