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Gold Prices Inch Higher Amid Rate and Trade Jitters, Copper Boosted by China Stimulus Hopes


Gold Market Highlights

Gold Extends Weekly Gains Amid Uncertainty

  • Spot gold rose 0.1% to $2,672.12 per ounce, while gold futures for February delivery gained 0.2% to $2,695.74 per ounce during early Asian trading.
  • For the week, spot gold is up approximately 1.5%, as concerns over U.S. interest rates and trade policies fueled safe-haven demand.

Rate Expectations and Labor Market Data in Focus

  • Markets are awaiting nonfarm payrolls data for December, expected to provide insights into the Federal Reserve’s rate outlook.
  • Recent trends of stronger-than-expected labor market performance have provided the Fed with headroom to delay or reduce the pace of rate cuts, maintaining some hawkish pressure.
  • Minutes from the Fed’s December meeting revealed caution over further rate cuts due to persistent inflation and a resilient labor market.

Trade and Political Uncertainty Support Gold

  • Safe-haven demand for gold has been supported by uncertainty over President-elect Donald Trump’s trade policies, with fears of inflationary pressures from protectionist measures.

Other Precious Metals

  • Platinum futures rose 0.9% to $993.20 per ounce.
  • Silver futures advanced 0.5% to $31.160 per ounce.

Industrial Metals Overview

Copper Rises on China Stimulus Hopes

  • Benchmark copper futures on the London Metal Exchange climbed 0.5% to $9,123.50 per ton, while March copper futures rose 0.5% to $4.3355 per pound.
  • Weak inflation data from China spurred expectations that Beijing may increase fiscal stimulus measures to support private spending and stabilize the economy.

Impact of U.S. Trade Tariffs

  • The potential for new U.S. trade tariffs has raised speculation that China may implement additional stimulus to offset economic challenges.
  • As the world’s largest copper importer, China’s demand outlook has heavily influenced copper prices, with concerns over sluggish growth weighing on the market.

Outlook

  • Gold: The focus remains on U.S. payrolls data and Federal Reserve policy signals, as these will determine gold’s near-term direction. Political uncertainties surrounding trade and fiscal policies under the incoming U.S. administration are likely to sustain safe-haven demand.
  • Copper: Further economic stimulus from China could lend strong support to copper prices, although trade tensions and China’s economic performance will remain key factors influencing demand.

Investors should monitor developments in U.S.-China trade relations, Federal Reserve commentary, and China’s fiscal policy actions for clearer market direction.

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