{"id":81089,"date":"2023-03-07T20:44:36","date_gmt":"2023-03-07T16:44:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/?p=81089"},"modified":"2023-03-07T21:25:52","modified_gmt":"2023-03-07T17:25:52","slug":"feds-powell-overall-data-on-labour-market-shows-it-is-extremely-tight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/feds-powell-overall-data-on-labour-market-shows-it-is-extremely-tight\/03\/07\/market-updates\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed\u2019s Powell: Overall data on labour market shows it is extremely tight"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell is delivering his bi-annual testimony before the US Senate. He presents the Monetary Policy Report before the Q&amp;A session with senators. The US dollar, stock markets as well as all other asset could be on the move with Powell\u2019s words.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The US Dollar&#8217;s bullish rally remains intact with the US Dollar Index rising more than 1% on the day at 105.40 following these comments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Powell delivered a notably hawkish testimony, mentioning that the Fed is \u201cprepared to increase the pace of interest rate hikes\u201d to help inflation return to the 2% target. The US dollar is gaining ground across the board after these remarks, while US stock markets, most major currency counterparts and Gold price are all losing around 1% on the day. After reading his testimony, Powell is answering questions from the US senators.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Quotes:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cOverall data on labor market shows it is extremely tight\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We don&#8217;t think we need to see a sharp rise in unemployment to get inflation under control.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We are not targeting a higher unemployment rate.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;4.5% unemployment rate is still well better than most times historically.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;No obvious candidate that could replace dollar as world&#8217;s reserve currency.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Size of corporate profits can affect the inflation rate.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Without large increase in productivity you would not be able to sustain high wage inflation over the longer term but could in short term.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Some softening in labor market will need to happen to get inflation under control.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Overall data on labor market shows it is extremely tight and contributing to inflation.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;What we are seeing in economy is mostly about supply chain problems and blockages.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;When that gets fixed, corporate profit margins will come down.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nothing about data suggests we&#8217;ve tightened too much<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Nothing about data suggests we&#8217;ve tightened too much; rather suggests we have more work to do.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Data so far suggests we&#8217;ll have a higher terminal rate in our next Summary of Economic Projections.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Inflation is extremely high and hurting working people of this country badly.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We are taking only measures we have to bring inflation down.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Working people will not be better off if we don&#8217;t get inflation down.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Carefully monitoring small and medium size banks&#8217; exposure to commercial real estate<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Not big spike in business debt generally.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;However, there are pockets of concern including upcoming refinancing.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We are watching that carefully.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;In terms of commercial real estate, occupancy of office space is remarkably low.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Over time that space will be changed into condos.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Most big banks though don&#8217;t have a lot of exposure to commercial real estate.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We carefully monitor small and medium size banks&#8217; exposure to commercial real estate.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Fed is very strongly committed to tailoring regulations for banks.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wages have been moderating without softening in labor market<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We are seeing goods inflation coming down for some time now.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Housing services inflation coming down is in the pipeline for the next 6\u201312 months.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;But core services ex-housing is where the challenge is now.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We can&#8217;t impact that sector without affecting others.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Our tools are powerful but blunt.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Wages have been moderating without softening in labor market.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We have many unusual factors affecting inflation and we don&#8217;t think anyone knows how this is going to play out.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We&#8217;ll be watching broader services sector very carefully.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We have not seen full effects of rate hikes yet.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We are watching carefully for the lags in monetary policy coming into play; will take that into account for rate hikes.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We are very focused on core inflation.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We are trying to create disinflation<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Congress needs to raise the debt ceiling.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Failing to do so, the consequences could be extraordinarily adverse and do longstanding harm.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Fed will do what it can to restore price stability while preserving maximum employment.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Fed is not in conflict right now on its dual mandate.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;There could be a time when our mandates are in conflict.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We are very far from price stability mandate.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We are not trying to raise the unemployment rate.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We are trying to realign supply and demand through a bunch of channels including job openings.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We are trying to create disinflation.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cCore inflation has not come down as fast as we hoped\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;There is mismatch between supply and demand; we still see that in the goods sector, you also see it in the labor market.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We will keep capital requirements strong.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We have the tools to get inflation down over time.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We will achieve 2% inflation goal.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Core inflation has not come down as fast as we hoped, has a long way to go.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Powell sees little signs of disinflation, delivers hawkish testimony<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;If totality of incoming data indicates faster tightening is warranted, we are prepared to increase pace of rate hikes.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Ultimate level of interest rates likely to be higher than previously anticipated.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Will continue to make our decisions meeting by meeting, based on totality of incoming data and implications for outlook for growth and inflation.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Some of strength in overall January data likely reflects unseasonably warm weather.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Little sign of disinflation so far in core services excluding housing.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;To get inflation back down to 2% need lower inflation in core services ex housing and very likely some softening in labor market.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Ongoing increases in policy rate likely appropriate in order for stance to be sufficiently restrictive to get inflation back to 2% over time.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Long way to go on getting inflation back down, road likely to be bumpy.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We still stay the course until job is done.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We don&#8217;t think we need to see a sharp rise in unemployment to get inflation under control.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;We are not targeting a higher unemployment rate.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;4.5% unemployment rate is still well better than most times historically.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;No obvious candidate that could replace dollar as world&#8217;s reserve currency.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Size of corporate profits can affect the inflation rate.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Without large increase in productivity you would not be able to sustain high wage inflation over the longer term but could in short term.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Some softening in labor market will need to happen to get inflation under control.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Overall data on labor market shows it is extremely tight and contributing to inflation.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;What we are seeing in economy is mostly about supply chain problems and blockages.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;When that gets fixed, corporate profit margins will come down.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell is delivering his bi-annual testimony before the US Senate. He presents the Monetary Policy Report before the Q&amp;A session with senators. The US dollar, stock markets as well as all other asset could be on the move with Powell\u2019s words. The US Dollar&#8217;s bullish rally remains intact with the US Dollar &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":39533,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4707,37,36],"tags":[8444,6987,7163,7672,7940,8324],"class_list":["post-81089","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-breaking-news","category-forex-markets","category-market-updates","tag-hawkish-language","tag-inflation","tag-jerome-powell","tag-jobs-data","tag-labour","tag-us-dollar-index"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81089","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81089"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81089\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":81092,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81089\/revisions\/81092"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/39533"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81089"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81089"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81089"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}