{"id":121600,"date":"2025-12-10T16:41:53","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T12:41:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/?p=121600"},"modified":"2025-12-10T16:41:55","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T12:41:55","slug":"dollar-slips-ahead-of-fed-decision-as-markets-focus-on-powells-2026-guidance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/dollar-slips-ahead-of-fed-decision-as-markets-focus-on-powells-2026-guidance\/12\/10\/market-updates\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Slips Ahead of Fed Decision as Markets Focus on Powell\u2019s 2026 Guidance"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.S. dollar edged lower on Wednesday, with traders squarely focused on the conclusion of the Federal Reserve\u2019s final policy meeting of the year, which is expected to shape global risk sentiment going into 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At 04:35 ET (09:35 GMT), the <strong>Dollar Index<\/strong>, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major peers, was down 0.2% at <strong>99.002<\/strong>, extending its year-to-date decline to more than <strong>8.5%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fed cut priced in, Powell in focus<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The Fed is widely expected to <strong>cut interest rates by 25 basis points<\/strong> later in the session, with Fed funds futures assigning just under a <strong>90%<\/strong> probability to such a move, according to CME\u2019s FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the cut largely priced in, attention has shifted to <strong>Fed Chair Jerome Powell\u2019s press conference<\/strong> and any signals about the <strong>rate path in 2026<\/strong>. Investors have recently scaled back expectations for aggressive easing next year amid lingering inflation concerns and a perception that the U.S. economy remains relatively resilient.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Data on Tuesday showed <strong>U.S. job openings<\/strong> rose slightly in October, following a sharp jump in September, suggesting labour demand is cooling but still holding up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Euro supported by French outlook; sterling steady<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>In Europe, <strong>EUR\/USD<\/strong> rose 0.1% to <strong>1.1640<\/strong>, helped by a more upbeat outlook for the French economy after a spell of political tension.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bank of France Governor <strong>Francois Villeroy de Galhau<\/strong> said the central bank would <strong>slightly raise its growth forecasts<\/strong> for France, noting that the economy has held up despite political uncertainty. His comments came after French lawmakers narrowly approved the <strong>2026 social security budget<\/strong> on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>GBP\/USD<\/strong> added 0.1% to <strong>1.3312<\/strong>, retaining a firmer tone ahead of Friday\u2019s U.K. growth data and <strong>next week\u2019s Bank of England meeting<\/strong>, where policymakers are expected to stay cautious on inflation and growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Further north, <strong>USD\/CAD<\/strong> traded 0.1% higher at <strong>1.3853<\/strong> ahead of the <strong>Bank of Canada\u2019s rate decision<\/strong> later in the day, with markets expecting the central bank to <strong>keep its key rate unchanged at 2.25%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">China\u2019s deflationary backdrop weighs, yen stabilises<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>In Asia, <strong>USD\/CNY<\/strong> was little changed at <strong>7.0639<\/strong>, even after fresh Chinese data highlighted <strong>persistent disinflationary pressures<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>China\u2019s <strong>consumer price index<\/strong> rose <strong>0.7% year-on-year<\/strong> in November, in line with expectations and the highest annual print since mid-2024, but prices <strong>fell 0.1% month-on-month<\/strong>, signalling weak underlying demand and base-effect support for the annual figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More concerning was the <strong>producer price index<\/strong>, which dropped <strong>2.2% year-on-year<\/strong> in November after a 2.1% decline in October, marking <strong>nearly four years of continuous industrial price contraction<\/strong> and underscoring ongoing deflationary strains in the manufacturing sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>yen<\/strong> stabilised after a volatile overnight session. <strong>USD\/JPY<\/strong> slipped 0.1% to <strong>156.61<\/strong>, with the pair having briefly threatened a break above the <strong>157<\/strong> level and the yen touching a <strong>record low against the euro<\/strong>. The move followed a powerful <strong>7.5-magnitude earthquake<\/strong> in northeast Japan, which initially triggered safe-haven flows into the currency before conditions steadied.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Aussie firms as RBA pushes back on more easing<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>Australian dollar<\/strong> extended gains after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept its <strong>cash rate at 3.60%<\/strong> for a third consecutive meeting and signalled that the <strong>easing cycle is on hold<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>AUD\/USD<\/strong> rose 0.2% to <strong>0.6652<\/strong>, building on the previous session\u2019s advance after the RBA warned that <strong>inflation risks have \u201ctilted to the upside.\u201d<\/strong> Governor <strong>Michele Bullock<\/strong> later reinforced that message in a press conference, saying <strong>further rate cuts were not needed<\/strong>, supporting the Aussie against the softer U.S. dollar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar edged lower on Wednesday, with traders squarely focused on the conclusion of the Federal Reserve\u2019s final policy meeting of the year, which is expected to shape global risk sentiment going into 2026. At 04:35 ET (09:35 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major peers, was &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":112137,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6827,49,37,36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-121600","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-daily-economic-reports","category-economic-reports","category-forex-markets","category-market-updates"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121600","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=121600"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121600\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":121601,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121600\/revisions\/121601"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/112137"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=121600"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=121600"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=121600"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}