{"id":120907,"date":"2025-11-14T17:22:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-14T13:22:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/?p=120907"},"modified":"2025-11-14T14:41:28","modified_gmt":"2025-11-14T10:41:28","slug":"u-s-futures-slip-as-fed-cut-odds-fade-and-tech-rotation-deepens","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/u-s-futures-slip-as-fed-cut-odds-fade-and-tech-rotation-deepens\/11\/14\/market-updates\/","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Futures Slip as Fed-Cut Odds Fade and Tech Rotation Deepens"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>U.S. equity futures edged lower Friday, extending the prior session\u2019s sharp selloff as investors reassessed the likelihood of a December Federal Reserve rate cut and continued to rotate out of high-valuation technology names.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At 10:30 GMT, <strong>Dow Jones futures<\/strong> fell about 0.1% (-60 pts), <strong>S&amp;P 500 futures<\/strong> slipped 0.2% (-12 pts), and <strong>Nasdaq 100 futures<\/strong> dropped 0.4% (-100 pts).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wall Street\u2019s major averages suffered their worst daily decline in more than a month on Thursday. The <strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average<\/strong> shed nearly 800 points (-1.7%), slipping back below 48,000 only a day after first crossing the mark, while the <strong>S&amp;P 500<\/strong> fell 1.7% and the <strong>Nasdaq Composite<\/strong> slid 2.3%, threatening to snap a seven-week winning streak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fed repricing cools risk appetite<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>A string of hawkish comments from Fed officials has dented expectations for a December cut. Minneapolis Fed President <strong>Neel Kashkari<\/strong> said he opposed last month\u2019s move and is undecided on December, while St. Louis Fed\u2019s <strong>Alberto Musalem<\/strong> and Cleveland Fed\u2019s <strong>Beth Hammack<\/strong> warned against easing policy too quickly with inflation still elevated. Market-implied odds now hover near <strong>50%<\/strong> for a 25 bp reduction next month, down sharply from roughly <strong>68%<\/strong> a week earlier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The policy uncertainty is compounded by the aftermath of the nearly <strong>43-day<\/strong> government shutdown. With official releases only now restarting, investors have relied on state-level indicators suggesting weekly jobless claims eased modestly in early November\u2014too small a drop, in traders\u2019 eyes, to strengthen the case for immediate easing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tech under pressure; AMAT highlights China drag<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The rotation away from mega-cap growth remains the chief drag on sentiment. <strong>Applied Materials<\/strong> fell pre-market after guiding that 2026 revenue faces a <strong>$600 million<\/strong> headwind from tighter U.S. export controls to China and warning that China wafer-fab equipment spending will likely decline next year. The company tempered the outlook by pointing to a second-half 2026 uplift tied to AI-driven capex.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Eyes turn next week to <strong>NVIDIA\u2019s<\/strong> results, which Barclays flagged as a pivotal read-through for whether AI enthusiasm\u2014and the heavy infrastructure spending underpinning it\u2014can re-accelerate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Energy pops on supply risk<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Crude prices jumped after reports that a Ukrainian drone strike damaged an oil depot in Russia\u2019s Black Sea port of <strong>Novorossiysk<\/strong>, raising supply-disruption risks. <strong>Brent<\/strong> rose ~2.4% to <strong>$64.49<\/strong> and <strong>WTI<\/strong> gained ~2.7% to <strong>$60.25<\/strong>. Even so, both benchmarks are only on track for minor weekly gains after an <strong>OPEC<\/strong> outlook this week projected a small surplus in 2026, which had triggered a midweek selloff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The setup into the close<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Macro:<\/strong> The market\u2019s near-term path hinges on the pace of U.S. data normalization post-shutdown and whether incoming prints meaningfully shift the December Fed calculus.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Positioning:<\/strong> With valuations still elevated in segments of tech, rallies may meet supply unless guidance from AI bellwethers surprises to the upside.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Cross-asset:<\/strong> Higher real yields and a firm dollar would keep pressure on duration-sensitive equities; oil\u2019s spike adds an inflation-risk wrinkle if sustained.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Into Friday\u2019s session, the burden of proof sits with bulls. Without clearer evidence of a December cut or stronger earnings validation for AI leaders, the path of least resistance remains sideways-to-lower, with sector rotation\u2014rather than broad risk-on\u2014shaping index moves.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>U.S. equity futures edged lower Friday, extending the prior session\u2019s sharp selloff as investors reassessed the likelihood of a December Federal Reserve rate cut and continued to rotate out of high-valuation technology names. At 10:30 GMT, Dow Jones futures fell about 0.1% (-60 pts), S&amp;P 500 futures slipped 0.2% (-12 pts), and Nasdaq 100 futures &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":115890,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6827,49,39,36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-120907","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-daily-economic-reports","category-economic-reports","category-global-stock-markets","category-market-updates"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120907","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120907"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120907\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":120908,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120907\/revisions\/120908"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/115890"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120907"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120907"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120907"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}