{"id":120540,"date":"2025-11-03T14:57:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-03T10:57:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/?p=120540"},"modified":"2025-11-03T13:56:08","modified_gmt":"2025-11-03T09:56:08","slug":"dollar-hovers-near-three-month-high-as-data-drought-keeps-fed-cautious","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/dollar-hovers-near-three-month-high-as-data-drought-keeps-fed-cautious\/11\/03\/market-updates\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar hovers near three-month high as data drought keeps Fed cautious"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.S. dollar steadied near a three-month peak on Monday, with traders bracing for a thin slate of economic signals that is unlikely to shift the Federal Reserve\u2019s cautious stance. The dollar index rose 0.16% to <strong>99.89<\/strong>\u2014its highest since August 1\u2014after the Fed\u2019s quarter-point cut last week was paired with Chair Jerome Powell\u2019s warning that further easing this year is far from assured without a clearer read on the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A prolonged government shutdown has clouded that read. With key official releases likely delayed again, markets will lean on <strong>ADP employment<\/strong> and <strong>ISM PMI<\/strong> reports, neither of which is expected to materially move policy expectations. Several Fed regional presidents signaled discomfort with last week\u2019s cut, and futures now price roughly a <strong>68%<\/strong> chance of another <strong>25 bp<\/strong> reduction in December\u2014down from firmer odds ahead of the meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In G10 FX, <strong>rate differentials<\/strong> continued to drive price action. The <strong>yen<\/strong> slipped to <strong>154.1 per dollar<\/strong>, hovering near an 8\u00bd-month low despite Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda\u2019s strongest hint yet at a possible December hike. The gradual pace of BoJ normalization, set against a more hawkish Fed tone, has kept pressure on the currency and drawn verbal warnings from Tokyo. The yen also traded close to last week\u2019s record low versus the euro, around <strong>\u00a5177.4<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>euro<\/strong> dipped <strong>0.16%<\/strong> to <strong>$1.1513<\/strong>, a three-month trough, while <strong>sterling<\/strong> fell <strong>0.4%<\/strong> to <strong>$1.3118<\/strong> as odds of a <strong>Bank of England<\/strong> cut this year crept higher following softer-than-expected inflation. The BoE meets this week; a minority of analysts see a <strong>25 bp<\/strong> move, though market pricing implies roughly a one-in-three chance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Commodity-linked and haven pairs showed mixed tones. The <strong>Aussie<\/strong> edged up <strong>0.1%<\/strong> to <strong>$0.6554<\/strong>, supported by expectations the <strong>Reserve Bank of Australia<\/strong> will hold rates on Tuesday after sticky core inflation. The <strong>dollar\/Swiss franc<\/strong> climbed <strong>0.27%<\/strong> to <strong>0.8067<\/strong>, its strongest in over three weeks, reflecting steady demand for the greenback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the dollar index trapped in a <strong>96\u2013100<\/strong> range for much of the past six months, this week\u2019s limited data\u2014set against policy makers\u2019 emphasis on caution\u2014may keep the greenback near the top of that band. Unless shutdown-delayed releases resume or the labor and inflation backdrop surprises, the path of least resistance points to a <strong>firm USD<\/strong> into the BoE\/RBA decisions and the next round of U.S. prints.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar steadied near a three-month peak on Monday, with traders bracing for a thin slate of economic signals that is unlikely to shift the Federal Reserve\u2019s cautious stance. The dollar index rose 0.16% to 99.89\u2014its highest since August 1\u2014after the Fed\u2019s quarter-point cut last week was paired with Chair Jerome Powell\u2019s warning that &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":112137,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37,36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-120540","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-forex-markets","category-market-updates"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120540","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120540"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120540\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":120541,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120540\/revisions\/120541"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/112137"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120540"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120540"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120540"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}