{"id":120226,"date":"2025-10-22T16:18:23","date_gmt":"2025-10-22T12:18:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/?p=120226"},"modified":"2025-10-22T16:18:26","modified_gmt":"2025-10-22T12:18:26","slug":"pound-slides-as-u-k-inflation-holds-steady-boosting-boe-rate-cut-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/pound-slides-as-u-k-inflation-holds-steady-boosting-boe-rate-cut-bets\/10\/22\/market-updates\/","title":{"rendered":"Pound Slides as U.K. Inflation Holds Steady, Boosting BoE Rate Cut Bets"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>British pound<\/strong> weakened on <strong>Wednesday<\/strong>, falling against both the <strong>U.S. dollar<\/strong> and the <strong>euro<\/strong>, after official data showed that <strong>U.K. inflation<\/strong> unexpectedly <strong>held steady in September<\/strong>, rather than rising as markets had anticipated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>Consumer Price Index (CPI)<\/strong> remained at <strong>3.8%<\/strong> for the third consecutive month, according to the <strong>Office for National Statistics (ONS)<\/strong> \u2014 below the <strong>4.0%<\/strong> increase expected by analysts and the <strong>Bank of England (BoE)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Sterling Drops on Softer Inflation Outlook<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Following the data, the pound <strong>fell 0.4% to $1.3323<\/strong>, marking its <strong>biggest single-day loss in nearly two weeks<\/strong>, as traders ramped up expectations for <strong>BoE rate cuts<\/strong> later this year.<br>Against the <strong>euro<\/strong>, sterling also <strong>slipped 0.4% to 87.05 pence<\/strong>, as currency markets priced in a more dovish policy path from the central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>core inflation<\/strong> measure\u2014excluding volatile food and energy components\u2014also came in weaker than forecasts, while <strong>services inflation<\/strong> undershot projections as well.<br>These signs of cooling price pressures bolstered expectations that the <strong>Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)<\/strong> could <strong>lower the Bank Rate<\/strong> sooner than previously anticipated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to <strong>interest rate futures<\/strong>, traders now see a <strong>75% probability<\/strong> that the BoE will <strong>cut rates to 3.75% by December<\/strong>, up sharply from about <strong>46%<\/strong> before the inflation report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Fiscal Concerns Keep Pressure on Sterling<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the softer inflation data, <strong>investor sentiment toward sterling<\/strong> remains cautious ahead of the <strong>autumn budget<\/strong> scheduled for <strong>next month<\/strong>.<br>Markets are bracing for possible <strong>tax hikes and spending cuts<\/strong>, as Finance Minister <strong>Rachel Reeves<\/strong> faces growing fiscal constraints.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Figures released on Tuesday showed that <strong>government borrowing<\/strong> in the <strong>first half of the fiscal year<\/strong> reached its <strong>highest level on record outside the pandemic<\/strong>, intensifying pressure on Reeves to close a <strong>\u00a340 billion shortfall<\/strong> while maintaining her fiscal credibility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Market Outlook<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The combination of <strong>easing inflation<\/strong>, <strong>mounting fiscal concerns<\/strong>, and <strong>renewed BoE dovish expectations<\/strong> has left the pound vulnerable to further declines.<br>Analysts suggest that if Friday\u2019s <strong>U.K. retail sales<\/strong> and upcoming <strong>U.S. CPI data<\/strong> reinforce a widening policy divergence between the <strong>BoE<\/strong> and the <strong>Federal Reserve<\/strong>, sterling could test lower support levels near <strong>$1.3250<\/strong> in the short term.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The British pound weakened on Wednesday, falling against both the U.S. dollar and the euro, after official data showed that U.K. inflation unexpectedly held steady in September, rather than rising as markets had anticipated. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained at 3.8% for the third consecutive month, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":54454,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[37,36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-120226","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-forex-markets","category-market-updates"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120226","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=120226"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120226\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":120227,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/120226\/revisions\/120227"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/54454"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=120226"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=120226"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=120226"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}