{"id":119745,"date":"2025-10-09T13:51:30","date_gmt":"2025-10-09T09:51:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/?p=119745"},"modified":"2025-10-09T13:51:34","modified_gmt":"2025-10-09T09:51:34","slug":"dollar-holds-firm-amid-political-turmoil-in-europe-and-japan-u-s-shutdown-drags-on","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/dollar-holds-firm-amid-political-turmoil-in-europe-and-japan-u-s-shutdown-drags-on\/10\/09\/economic-reports\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Holds Firm Amid Political Turmoil in Europe and Japan, U.S. Shutdown Drags On"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>U.S. dollar<\/strong> held steady on Thursday, supported by weakness in both the <strong>euro<\/strong> and <strong>yen<\/strong>, as investors weighed ongoing <strong>political upheaval in Europe and Japan<\/strong> alongside the effects of a prolonged <strong>federal government shutdown<\/strong> in Washington.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By <strong>05:28 ET (09:28 GMT)<\/strong>, the <strong>U.S. dollar index<\/strong>\u2014which tracks the greenback against a basket of major currencies\u2014was <strong>unchanged at 98.94<\/strong>, after touching a <strong>two-year high<\/strong> earlier in the session.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>France\u2019s Political Crisis Pressures the Euro<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>In Europe, attention returned to <strong>France\u2019s political turmoil<\/strong>, where <strong>President Emmanuel Macron<\/strong> is expected to name a <strong>new prime minister within 48 hours<\/strong>, following the abrupt resignation of <strong>Sebastien Lecornu<\/strong> earlier this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lecornu\u2019s government\u2014France\u2019s shortest-lived in modern history\u2014collapsed within hours of its formation, after facing widespread backlash from both allies and opponents. The chaos has sparked speculation about a <strong>snap parliamentary election<\/strong>, though Macron\u2019s office stated that a majority of lawmakers oppose such a move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysts at <strong>ING<\/strong> warned that the situation represents both a <strong>domestic political<\/strong> and potentially <strong>economic crisis<\/strong>, with \u201cindirect contagion\u201d risks to other eurozone economies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The euro slipped <strong>0.1% to $1.1622<\/strong>, marking its <strong>lowest level since late August<\/strong> and extending its <strong>weekly loss to 0.8%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Yen Weakens as Takaichi Victory Shifts Japan Policy Outlook<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>In Asia, the <strong>Japanese yen<\/strong> continued to depreciate after <strong>Sanae Takaichi\u2019s victory<\/strong> in the leadership race of Japan\u2019s ruling <strong>Liberal Democratic Party<\/strong>, a move seen as favoring <strong>fiscal stimulus and loose monetary policy<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The yen traded at <strong>\u00a5152.67 per dollar<\/strong>, its weakest since <strong>February<\/strong>, and has fallen <strong>over 3.6% this week<\/strong> as traders anticipate <strong>increased government spending<\/strong> and fewer <strong>Bank of Japan rate hikes<\/strong> under Takaichi\u2019s leadership.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Market participants expect Japan\u2019s Ministry of Finance to <strong>closely monitor currency movements<\/strong>, as sharp yen weakness risks renewed verbal or direct intervention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>U.S. Shutdown and Fed Outlook in Focus<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>U.S. government shutdown<\/strong>, now in its <strong>second week<\/strong>, has halted the release of several key economic indicators, leaving investors without vital data that would normally guide expectations for <strong>Federal Reserve policy<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Minutes from the Fed\u2019s <strong>September 16\u201317 meeting<\/strong> revealed a split among policymakers:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Most officials<\/strong> believe further <strong>rate cuts<\/strong> are needed this year to counter labor market risks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Several members<\/strong>, however, warned against cutting too quickly amid <strong>persistent inflation pressures<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysts at <strong>Capital Economics<\/strong> noted that most FOMC participants supported moving rates toward a <strong>\u201cneutral setting\u201d<\/strong>\u2014a level that neither stimulates nor restrains growth\u2014due to ongoing downside risks in employment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Market pricing remains firm for a <strong>25-basis-point rate cut<\/strong> at the <strong>October meeting<\/strong>, followed by another potential move in <strong>December<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Outlook<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>With the <strong>U.S. dollar supported by relative stability<\/strong>, and the <strong>euro and yen under pressure from domestic political risks<\/strong>, currency markets are expected to stay volatile in the short term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders now await <strong>Fed Chair Jerome Powell\u2019s speech<\/strong> and any new developments from <strong>Paris or Tokyo<\/strong> for signals that could set the tone for global FX markets heading into the final quarter of 2025.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar held steady on Thursday, supported by weakness in both the euro and yen, as investors weighed ongoing political upheaval in Europe and Japan alongside the effects of a prolonged federal government shutdown in Washington. By 05:28 ET (09:28 GMT), the U.S. dollar index\u2014which tracks the greenback against a basket of major currencies\u2014was &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":117672,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6827,49],"tags":[6877,6885],"class_list":["post-119745","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-daily-economic-reports","category-economic-reports","tag-dollar","tag-fed"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119745","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119745"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119745\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":119746,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119745\/revisions\/119746"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/117672"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119745"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119745"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119745"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}