{"id":119194,"date":"2025-09-24T13:27:14","date_gmt":"2025-09-24T09:27:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/?p=119194"},"modified":"2025-09-24T13:27:17","modified_gmt":"2025-09-24T09:27:17","slug":"dollar-rebounds-as-powell-stays-cautious-on-easing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/dollar-rebounds-as-powell-stays-cautious-on-easing\/09\/24\/market-updates\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Rebounds as Powell Stays Cautious on Easing"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>U.S. dollar<\/strong> firmed on <strong>Wednesday<\/strong>, recovering from near one-week lows after <strong>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell<\/strong> reiterated a cautious stance on the outlook for monetary easing. Markets, however, still priced in <strong>two more quarter-point rate cuts this year<\/strong>, keeping traders focused on incoming inflation data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dollar Index and Major Pairs<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>U.S. dollar index<\/strong> climbed <strong>0.35% to 97.575<\/strong>, rebounding after touching 97.198 overnight\u2014its lowest since last Thursday. Against the yen, the greenback added <strong>0.29% to 148.07<\/strong>, while the <strong>euro slipped 0.4% to $1.177<\/strong> as German Ifo business climate data disappointed. <strong>Sterling<\/strong> fell <strong>0.3% to $1.3482<\/strong>, while the <strong>Aussie dollar<\/strong> gained <strong>0.23% to $0.6614<\/strong> after CPI data surprised on the upside at 3%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Powell\u2019s Message and Market Positioning<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Powell warned against both premature easing\u2014which could entrench inflation\u2014and overly tight policy that risks damaging employment. His remarks echoed the Fed\u2019s <strong>balanced, data-driven stance<\/strong> from last week\u2019s policy meeting, which delivered a <strong>25 bps cut<\/strong> but stopped short of stronger dovish signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite this, traders still see rate reductions ahead. CME FedWatch shows expectations for <strong>two cuts in 2025 and one more in early 2026<\/strong>, though near-term bets on an October cut have been pared slightly following Fed speakers\u2019 hawkish tones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">European and Australian Backdrop<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>In Europe, sentiment around the euro weakened after <strong>German business morale fell unexpectedly<\/strong> in September, underlining fragility in the eurozone\u2019s growth outlook. Meanwhile, Australia\u2019s inflation beat has complicated expectations for further RBA easing, with markets trimming the chance of another 2025 rate cut to <strong>around 33% by year-end<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Data in Focus<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>This week\u2019s key test for the dollar will be the <strong>PCE price index<\/strong> release on Friday\u2014 the Fed\u2019s preferred inflation gauge\u2014expected to show inflation holding sticky at 2.8% YoY. Core readings are likely to remain above the Fed\u2019s 2% target, keeping policymakers cautious.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar firmed on Wednesday, recovering from near one-week lows after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated a cautious stance on the outlook for monetary easing. Markets, however, still priced in two more quarter-point rate cuts this year, keeping traders focused on incoming inflation data. Dollar Index and Major Pairs The U.S. dollar index &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":104102,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6827,49,37,36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-119194","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-daily-economic-reports","category-economic-reports","category-forex-markets","category-market-updates"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119194","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119194"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119194\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":119195,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119194\/revisions\/119195"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/104102"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119194"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119194"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119194"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}