{"id":106857,"date":"2024-10-08T13:20:51","date_gmt":"2024-10-08T09:20:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/?p=106857"},"modified":"2024-10-08T13:20:54","modified_gmt":"2024-10-08T09:20:54","slug":"dollar-eases-from-seven-week-highs-as-rate-cut-outlook-shifts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/dollar-eases-from-seven-week-highs-as-rate-cut-outlook-shifts\/10\/08\/market-updates\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Eases from Seven-Week Highs as Rate Cut Outlook Shifts"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The U.S. dollar eased slightly on Tuesday from near seven-week highs against major currencies, as investors reassessed the outlook for U.S. interest rate cuts. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, however, continued to support the dollar&#8217;s appeal as a safe-haven asset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>euro<\/strong> gained 0.2%, trading at <strong>$1.0992<\/strong>, after reaching a seven-week low of <strong>$1.0952<\/strong> last week. Similarly, the <strong>pound<\/strong> rose to <strong>$1.31<\/strong>, recovering from a three-week low of <strong>$1.3059<\/strong> hit on Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Shifting Expectations on U.S. Rate Cuts<\/strong><br>Investors have drastically reduced expectations for aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve this year. Last week\u2019s strong U.S. jobs report reinforced Fed Chair <strong>Jerome Powell\u2019s<\/strong> stance that the central bank would likely stick to smaller quarter-percentage-point rate reductions, despite the larger-than-usual rate cut in September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>John Williams<\/strong>, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and a permanent voting member of the rate-setting committee, echoed Powell&#8217;s remarks. He told the <em>Financial Times<\/em> that the September rate cut should not be seen as setting a precedent for future moves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As a result, markets are no longer fully pricing in a rate cut for November, with the <strong>CME FedWatch tool<\/strong> now showing a <strong>90% chance<\/strong> of a 25-basis-point cut. Expectations for easing in December have also been revised down to <strong>50 basis points<\/strong>, from over <strong>70 bps<\/strong> a week earlier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Yen Recovers Amid Geopolitical Tensions<\/strong><br>While the dollar remained strong against most major currencies, safe-haven demand allowed the <strong>yen<\/strong> to recover some losses on Tuesday, as rising geopolitical concerns in the Middle East pushed investors toward safer assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>dollar index<\/strong>, which measures the U.S. currency against a basket of six major rivals, slipped <strong>0.2%<\/strong> to <strong>102.31<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Market Focus: U.S. Inflation Data and Fed Minutes<\/strong><br>Investors are closely watching for key U.S. inflation data, due on Thursday, as well as minutes from the Federal Reserve\u2019s September meeting, set for release on Wednesday. These could offer more insight into the Fed\u2019s rate outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, the benchmark <strong>10-year U.S. Treasury yield<\/strong> remained above <strong>4%<\/strong>, having hit this level on Monday for the first time in two months. Traders have scaled back expectations of larger rate cuts in light of stronger economic data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Chinese Markets Rebound, But Optimism Fades<\/strong><br>Chinese equity markets reopened strongly after a week-long holiday, buoyed by optimism around stimulus measures. However, some gains were capped as investors grew cautious due to the lack of specific details on Beijing&#8217;s economic support plans.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. dollar eased slightly on Tuesday from near seven-week highs against major currencies, as investors reassessed the outlook for U.S. interest rate cuts. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, however, continued to support the dollar&#8217;s appeal as a safe-haven asset. The euro gained 0.2%, trading at $1.0992, after reaching a seven-week low of $1.0952 &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":95648,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6827,49,37,36],"tags":[6885,8552,9796,8195],"class_list":["post-106857","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-daily-economic-reports","category-economic-reports","category-forex-markets","category-market-updates","tag-fed","tag-jerome-powel","tag-jolts-job-openings","tag-rate-cuts"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106857","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=106857"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106857\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":106858,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106857\/revisions\/106858"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/95648"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=106857"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=106857"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/noortrends.ae\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=106857"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}